Confirmed Close
A mechanical trend rotation system

One decision a day, and no argument about it

Every day at the same minute this system asks the same short list of questions, and the answer decides where the money belongs for the next 24 hours. Most days the answer is the same as yesterday and nothing happens. The rules are published here in full, the current reading is free, and there is nothing to sign up for.

One decision a day00:00 UTCNo guessing
Where the money sits today
Close of 2 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Every market rung answered no, so the book sits in cash, held in dollars.

USD 100%
Crypto total
Bearish
-1.00
0 of 12 agree
Rung 1, is the crypto trend positive
ETH vs BTC
BTC
-1.00
0 of 12 agree
Rung 2, which major is stronger
Gold
Bearish
-1.00
0 of 12 agree
Rung 3, is gold trending up
S&P 500
Bearish
-1.00
0 of 12 agree
Rung 3, is the S&P trending up
EUR vs USD
USD
-1.00
0 of 12 agree
The currency the cash leg sits in

Each gauge is twelve indicators voting on one daily chart. Above zero the answer is yes, at or below zero it is no. The needle can only land on thirteen positions, one sixth apart, because twelve votes are being averaged.

These rules have been tested back to January 2018. See what they did, and why the number flatters itself.

Floor 33.33% · Satellite cap 25% · Rebalance above 2%
The live book

A real account running these signals, recomputed for an unlevered $100,000 so it can be read against the backtest. Every entry, price and fee below is one that actually happened.

Connecting
Book value
$98,464
from $100,000
Open profit
+$0.00
today −$0.05
Realised
−$1,106.02
on closed positions
Total gain
−$1,535.78
−1.54% since 16 Sept, after $693.04 in fees
Current holdings, marked to the live price from Hyperliquid.
AssetWeightUnitsAvg entryPriceValueTodayOpen profit

Prices stream from Hyperliquid. Sizes are the account's own trades scaled by one constant, so the weights and the percentage moves are real and only the dollar amounts are enlarged. Fees are included. This is a record of what the system did, not an offer, not advice, and not an account anyone can buy into.

Book value since go-live
$100,000 at go-live on 16 Sept to $98,464 on 2 Nov, −1.54%
$105,000$110,000$115,00016 Sept23 Sept30 Sept7 Oct14 Oct21 Oct28 Oct2 Nov$100,000$98,464

Every point is a confirmed daily close, marked at the same prices the system reads. The dashed line is the $100,000 the book started with on 16 Sept. Today's forming day is not on here; the figures above carry it.

The one idea

The money is always somewhere, and a rule chooses where

Most people buy something and then argue with themselves about when to sell it. This system removes the argument. When the trend turns, the rules turn with it a few days later. You will never catch the exact top or bottom, and the system is not trying to.

Nothing here predicts anything. The rules only describe what is already happening: is this market trending up right now, and is that other one trending up faster. There is no borrowed money, no shorting and no options. The book is always long something, and cash counts as a position like any other.

The ladder

Four questions, and each one only gets asked if the last said yes

This is the entire decision. Every rung below is measured against the answer above it, which is why the order cannot be shuffled. When the last rung answers no, the book holds cash, and a fifth reading decides whether that cash is euros or dollars.

YESNOYESNOYESNOIs the crypto trend positive?Which major is stronger?Hold that one, ETH or BTCWhich mid caps beat it?A third stays in the major.The rest goes to the winners.Is gold trending up?Hold goldIs the S&P 500 trending up?Hold the S&PHold cash

How each answer is measured