Questions
The ones that come up every time
If your question is not here, it is probably answered on the system, allocation or timing pages. This list covers what people ask after they have read those.
- What if I miss a day?
- Act at the next 00:00 UTC on that day’s closed reading. Do not trade the missed day’s targets at a price two days later, and do not try to make up for it. One skipped day is a small cost, a made-up correction can be a large one.
- Can I run this with a smaller amount?
- Yes, and the percentages work the same at any size. The practical floor is set by fees and minimum order sizes: if a 16% slice of your book is a $40 order, the cost of trading starts eating the result. Below a few thousand, holding fewer legs is more sensible than running the full mid cap layer.
- Why is cash treated as a position?
- Because deciding to hold cash is a decision, and if it is not written down as a position you will drift back into the market on a feeling. When the ladder says cash, the correct action is to sit in cash and check again in 24 hours.
- Should a barely positive coin get the same size as a strongly positive one?
- Twelve votes averaged can only land on a few values, so a qualifying score is one of +0.17, +0.33, +0.50, +0.67, +0.83 or +1.00. The weakest one means seven indicators of twelve agree, which is thinner evidence than eleven of twelve. Every qualifying coin gets the same size anyway. Forward outperformance does rise with the score, but the weakest bucket carries no measurable edge over a reading the system rejects outright, and it has only a few dozen independent observations behind it. Equal weight stands, because the gain is small, the evidence is thin, and a threshold would be one more knob tuned against the same history everything else was tuned on.
- Does the system ever use borrowed money?
- No. Position sizes never add up to more than the account. There is no borrowing and no shorting. Perpetual contracts are used to hold gold, the S&P and the euro, because there is no convenient spot market for them on the same venue, but they are held at one times the account, not levered.
- Why hold the S&P 500 in a crypto system?
- Because the alternative on those days is cash, and cash loses value slowly while shares are trending up. It is a better parking space, not a view on equities. It gets checked only after gold has already said no.
- Why is there a euro option at all?
- Because holding cash still means holding a currency, and letting that default to whichever one you happen to think in is a position nobody chose. A separate panel on the euro against the dollar decides it. The euro leg is the rarest state the system enters.
- How long before I know if it is working?
- Longer than feels reasonable. Trend systems in crypto produce years that triple an account and years that cut it by a third, and both are normal behaviour. A quarter tells you almost nothing. What you can judge much sooner is whether you are following the rules, which is the only part you control.
- Can I use my own indicators instead?
- You can, and then it is your system and nothing here applies to it. The structure on this site, the order of the questions, the floor, the cap and the timing, is worth more than any particular indicator anyway. That is why it is the part that is published.
- Is there a paid version, a group, or a signal service?
- No. The current reading is on the front page, free, at the same time it is acted on. There is nothing to subscribe to and no private channel where a better version lives.